Common Poker Hand Odds

Our common flop odds chart shows the exact odds of flopping specific hand or draw types with various hole card groupings in Texas Holdem.

  • I'm assuming you're talking about Texas Hold 'Em, since that's the most popular game right now. I found this online, and it is roughly accurate, from my anecdotal evidence (maybe 10,000 hands) and my memory.
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Remember that every mistake you make preflop will only be magnified on later streets. The chart below clearly shows that playing weak hole cards (for example three gapped connectors) will rarely give you the best hand on the flop.

Poker odds calculate the chances of you holding a winning hand. The poker odds calculators on CardPlayer.com let you run any scenario that you see at the poker table, see your odds and outs,.

This is why you should play only a narrow range of the best hole cards and fold everything else. It is especially important when you are a beginner. The more weak hands you play, the more money you will lose in the long term.

Common flop odds chart

Hole CardsFloppingOdds
Unpaired Hole Cardsexactly one pair by pairing a hole card26.939%
exactly two pair by pairing a hole card and pairing on the board2.02%
exactly two pair by pairing each of your hole cards2.02%
exactly trips by flopping two cards to a hole card1.347%
exactly a full house, trips of one hole card and pairing the other0.092%
exactly four of a kind, three cards to one of your hole cards0.01%
Paired Hole Cardsexactly two pair by pairing the board16.163%
exactly trips by flopping a set for your pocket pair10.775%
exactly a full house, a set to your hole pair and pairing the board0.735%
exactly a full house, by the board tripping up0.245%
exactly four of a kind, two cards to your hole pair0.245%
Two Unsuited Cardsa flush draw2.245%
Two Suited Cardsa flush (including straight flush)0.842%
a flush draw10.944%
Connectors
(54 to JT)
a straight (including straight flush)1.306%
an 8 out straight draw (excluding gutshots)10.449%
One Gapped
Connectors
(53 to QT)
a straight (including straight flush)0.98%
an 8 out straight draw (excluding gutshots)8.08%
Two Gapped
Connectors
(52 to KT)
a straight (including straight flush)0.653%
an 8 out straight draw (excluding gutshots)5.224%
Three Gapped
Connectors
(A5 to AT)
a straight (including straight flush)0.327%
an 8 out straight draw (excluding gutshots)2.612%

More articles on poker probability:

Poker odds calculator
Poker outs and odds
Pot odds and expected value
Sklansky bucks
Implied odds
Reverse implied odds
Poker hand probability chart
Common flop odds chart
Pocket pairs - flopping overcards odds

Go back to the Online Poker Strategy.

Once the flop has been dealt in Texas Hold'em, you'll be able to count your outs and know how likely it is your hand will improve. That will tell you whether you should stay in the hand or fold.
You can figure out your outs and odds for any hand, but here is a quick and dirty list of the most common scenarios:

Common

Common Poker Hand Odds Against

Texas Hold'em Cheat SheetOdds Based on Outs after the Flop

If after the flop, you have:
Two outs: Your odds are 11 to 1 (about 8.5 percent)
A common scenario would be when you have a pair and you are hoping your pair becomes a three-of-a-kind (a set).
Four outs: Your odds are 5 to 1 (about 16.5 percent)
A common scenario would be when you are trying to hit an inside straight draw (there are 4 cards of one number that will complete the straight) or you have two pairs and you hope to make a full house (there are three cards remaining of one number and two of the other).
Eight outs: Your odds are 2 to 1 (about 31 percent)
A common scenario would be that you have an open-ended straight draw. There are four remaining cards of two different numbers that will complete your straight, on the high end and on the low end.
Nine outs: Your odds are 2 to 1 (about 35 percent)
This is the common scenario when you have a flush draw. Any of the nine remaining cards of the suit will give you a flush.

Fifteen outs: Your odds are 1 to 1 (about 54 percent)
A scenario for this is having a straight and flush draw, where either any of the nine remaining cards of the suit will give you a flush, while there are four cards remaining of each of two numbers that would complete a straight. However, you don't count the same cards twice as outs, so those of suit you hope to get don't count again.

The Rule of Four and Two

Common Poker Hand Odds Nfl Week 7

These odds only apply to counting both the turn and the river, so they assume you will stay in the hand until the showdown. Your odds are only about half as good for a single card draw, such taking the hit on the turn or taking the hit on the river. A common way of looking at the difference in the odds when you will be seeing two cards compared with one is called the Rule of 4 and 2.

After the flop, count your outs and multiply them by four to get your percentage odds. This doesn't give you an exact number, but it is quickly in the ballpark. With 15 outs, 4 x 15 = 55 percent you'll complete that straight or flush with the next two draws.

Common Poker Hand Odds Chart

However, when you are calculating the odds that a single draw will improve your hand, you multiply the outs by two rather than 4. With 15 outs, 2 x 15 = 30 percent chance.